It seems to me, and the numbers seem to bear this out, that where Bush, won, he did so by the slightest of margins. He had no overwhelming majority in any state comparable to some of the states that backed Kerry. What this map shows is that Bush won by convincing a certain number of Democrats to vote for him.
Mr. Bush drew more Republicans (93 percent) than Mr. Kerry drew Democrats (89 percent). More Democrats (11 percent) voted for Mr. Bush than Republicans (6 percent) voted for Mr. Kerry. Independents were split equally between the two.
NYTimes – Moral Values Cited as a Defining Issue of the Election: 11/4/2004
I am just an amature, but my gut tells me, and I’m sure I can find the figures to back this up, that similarly, Clinton drew similar numbers of Republicans, and Reagan drew similar numbers of Democrats in their election contests.
So who are these people that aren’t loyal to their party? Well their people like myself. A person who was very willing to vote for John McCain in 2004. You know why? I liked him. There, I admit it. I liked him and on some personal level, I trusted he would be a great President.
…Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter got elected because they were comfortable with their faith,” said Representative Rahm Emanuel of Illinois, a former Clinton aide. “What happened was that a part of the electorate came open to what Clinton and Carter had to say on everything else – health care, the environment, whatever – because they were very comfortable that Clinton and Carter did not disdain the way these people lived their lives, but respected them.”
He added: “We need a nominee and a party that is comfortable with faith and values. And if we have one, then all the hard work we’ve done on Social Security or America’s place in the world or college education can be heard. But people aren’t going to hear what we say until they know that we don’t approach them as Margaret Mead would an anthropological experiment.”
NYTimes – Electoral Affirmation of Shared Values Provides Bush a Majority: 11/4/2004
If you think this kind of moral talk is anathema, you’re the sort of person Karl Rove wants to be running the Democratic Party. Get out, or get a new attitude. Nearly 60 million people came out to vote for George W. Bush yesterday because they think that he represents their values and that you don’t. Prove them wrong and you’ll be the majority party again.
Slate – Democratic Values – How to start winning the red states: 11/3/2004
In the end, a small slice of America, across many, many states, decided the election. It’s in this part of America, the folks who didn’t realize that Kerry was a person they could trust, and in the end voted on their feelings alone, that the greatest opportunity lies for the Democratic party. Moving further to the left or to the right is not the answer. The Democrats need to stand for what it stands for and communicate its values and principals in a way that more people can relate to. The heartening thing is it sounds like the DLC agrees with me.