McCain is now ahead of Obama in Electoral Projections

Hey, I was Suburban Guerrilla-ed 🙂 Now back to the subject at hand…

FiveThirtyEight and Electoral-vote.com.

Meanwhile, truth is finally starting to trickle out of the newspaper press.

WashingtonPost: As Mayor of Wasilla, Palin Cut Own Duties, Left Trail of Bad Blood

NYTimes: Once Elected, Palin Hired Friends and Lashed Foes

But will the much more influential TV newscasts follow suit or keep the ‘controversy of the day’ story-lines that are to blame for turning so many folks off and away from voting (I know a number of folks who have grown disgusted these past few weeks and are not voting now – great work national newscasts).

David Weinberger on Echo Chambers: Echo chambers: The meme that will not die:

erhaps the persistence of the question is due to our shock at being shown who we really are. When all you can see of yourself is what the sanitized mass media show you and what you can see around you in your physical environs, the differences the Net makes visible unsettle us profoundly.

Sounds like some in the tech community are starting to wake up.

The Web is not built on love. It is a reflection of humanity. That is a vital difference.

The conversation at Doc Searls had a few folks circling in on some interesting conclusions about framing and what I call ‘attention influence’.

My friend Daniel Rubin, at the Inquirer thinks this is due to ‘stupid media tricks’. I hope he is including all of social media and bloggerdom in his definition of media. Memeorandum pretty much reveals that any media where controlling attention matters is subject to get involved in ‘lipstick on a pig’ activity. We’re in this together. It really is ‘We the Media’.

4 thoughts on “McCain is now ahead of Obama in Electoral Projections

  1. I just tweeted a link about the electoral polling. I don’t know if it explains everything or not, but it made a bit of sense to me.

    Seth Colter Walls at the Huffington Post notes that even as Democrats continue to outpace Republicans in voter registration, many of the more recent polls draw a larger sample of Republican-identifying voters than they previously did.

    While in the past some polls were (probably accidentally) more representative of the Dem registration edge, many of the newer polls are drawing almost equal samples of D’s and R’s.

    Assuming Walls’ reporting is accurate, that might explain a lot, though I couldn’t tell you who has the most to gain from this trend.

  2. I have some hope that you’re right Howard, and that unlike past elections, the Democratic candidate has a real ground organization that will help get out the vote. Still, we have a situation where truth has taken a beating and I know good folks who are saying that the only thing that matters is winning – so fighting fire with fire is a-okay. Sad man.

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